Smackdown In New Hampshire

-

I watched the ABC Republican Debate on Saturday night, unfortunately until they get down to two or three candidates left standing on the stage it's just not informative. It was fun to watch Chris Christie rip Marco Rubio to shreds. More interesting is to see that Rubio really does come across as a pod person. He is so programmed with his answers that they are not answers. It's one thing to be disciplined and stick to your message, it's quite another to appear incapable of thinking on your feet. I stand by my own analysis in contradiction to the talking heads prior to that debate, Rubio is not going to be the nominee and he will fizzle.

New Hampshire votes tomorrow and I know you're on pins and needles waiting for my predictions. So it's game on.

For the Republicans the order will be 1. Trump 2.Kasich 3. Bush 4.Rubio 5. Cruz. Now watch closely because Kasich is going to be within 5 points of Trump. If Republican primary voters going forward were thinking strategically and concentrating on the general election they would coalesce around John Kasich but exactly where their brains are is difficult to predict. Christie, Carson and Fiorina are toast, they just haven't been buttered yet.

For the Democrats Bernie Sanders is the odds on favorite to win but watch closely as Clinton dramatically closes the gap and could deliver an upset and beat Sanders by 2 points.

As always, if I'm wrong, it's not my fault!

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Sacrifice

-
After a lengthy absence from live performance I found my self wedged in a seat at Theater on the Square in Indianapolis. The production was "Sacrifice" , an original and first play from co-writers Marcus May and Caleb Nunez. Both have experience in short films and a life long love of the arts. The play is about racial tension between two families, one black and one Latino. Leading the Latino family is Ernesto, a building super who's wife was killed many years earlier by a young black male. Ernesto, engagingly played by Joe Vanegas, cannot let go of this life altering experience and as a result has a distrust of African Americans and a prejudice born of pain. His daughter Ana, played by Brittany Crone, views the world through a different lens, one of tolerance and acceptance of diversity. She tries to soften her father's views but to no avail. Enter the new tenants in the building, the black family father and son Antonio and Trey. When Trey meets Ana sparks begin
Read more

The Day After

-
Well, how you doing today. Feeling nauseous? Feeling giddy with joy? Feeling like the Republic is now under the control of a Sith Lord? Feeling like the saviour of the nation has arrived? I guess it all depends on where you stand. I said in this little forum from the very beginning that Donald Trump could get the Republican nomination and go on to win the Presidency. I was hopeful that he wouldn't but never delusional that he couldn't. Forget about the polls which got it wrong and forget about the professional pundits who got it wrong and are still getting it wrong in their analysis. Trump won in the Electoral College because of rural America turning out in large numbers. As I write this Hillary Clinton still has over 200,000 more votes than Donald Trump and that number will likely grow by the time the count is complete. The irony is that the same people who voted for Donald Trump are the ones who rail against the Electoral College. Let me repeat again that millions of Amer
Read more

A Message From Kane

-
If you are a regular or occasional reader of this blog I am asking you to take a moment of your time, it's not like I'm asking for money though you know you should send me some, and leave a comment for this specific post. I don't care what you write, it can be 1234 but do it. This will provide me a better understanding of how many eyeballs are viewing. Thank you for your compliance. Failure to respond will result in a serious toungue lashing, which some of you would probably enjoy.
Read more